Harare’s long-established low-density suburbs, once a hallmark of affluence, are experiencing a shift. Sprawling single-family homes on expansive plots are no longer the sole aspiration for residents.

A new generation, with evolving needs and a preference for a more connected lifestyle, is emerging. This presents a unique opportunity for the development of modern, high-density precincts within these suburbs.

Demographic shift and changing preferences

Harare’s population is projected to reach 2.2 million by 2030 ([UN Cities Report 2018]). This growth is driven by a burgeoning youth population. According to the Zimbabwe National Statistics Agency (ZIMSTAT), over 60% of the population is under the age of 35. This demographic is known for its desire for convenience, social interaction, and walkable communities – all qualities often lacking in the current low-density suburban sprawl.

A 2023 survey by GeoPoll revealed that 72% of Harare residents aged 25-34 prioritize easy access to shops, restaurants, and entertainment venues when choosing a place to live. Additionally, 68% expressed a preference for secure, gated communities that foster a sense of belonging.

Economic benefits of modern precincts

The development of modern precincts can be a catalyst for economic growth in Harare. Here’s a breakdown of the potential benefits:

• Increased Densification: Replacing underutilized land with multi-unit dwellings can significantly boost property taxes for the city council. A 2022 report by the World Bank estimates that Harare could generate an additional $20 million annually in property taxes through strategic densification.
• Job Creation: The construction and maintenance of modern precincts will create new employment opportunities in the construction, real estate, and property management sectors. A 2021 study by the University of Zimbabwe suggests that a single high-density development project can create up to 500 jobs during construction and dozens of permanent positions upon completion.
• Booming Businesses: Modern precincts will attract a wider range of businesses, including restaurants, cafes, shops, and service providers. This will not only cater to the residents within the precinct but also generate revenue and create jobs throughout the city.

Social and environmental advantages

Besides economic benefits, modern precincts offer a range of social and environmental advantages:

• Vibrant Communities: Mixed-use precincts create spaces for people to connect and foster a sense of community. Shared amenities like parks, gyms, and social areas can encourage interaction and build a strong social fabric.
• Sustainable Living: High-density living promotes a more sustainable lifestyle. Residents can walk or cycle to local amenities, reducing reliance on cars and their associated carbon emissions. A 2020 study by the Zimbabwe Environmental Management Agency (EMA) found that car-dependent commutes are a major contributor to air pollution in Harare.
• Efficient Use of Land: Modern precincts make better use of existing infrastructure, reducing the need for urban sprawl and preserving valuable green spaces.

Addressing concerns and building consensus

The potential of modern precincts is undeniable, but there are concerns that need to be addressed. Some residents may be apprehensive about increased density and potential changes to the character of their neighborhoods. To ensure successful implementation, extensive community engagement is crucial.

Residents’ concerns must be heard and addressed through transparent communication and inclusive planning processes.

Here are some strategies to achieve successful development:

• Phased Development: Precinct development can be rolled out in phases, allowing residents to adjust to the changes.
• Preserving Green Spaces: Modern precincts should incorporate ample green spaces to ensure a balance between density and a connection to nature.
•  Traffic Management: Traffic flow within and around the precinct needs careful planning to avoid congestion.

A vision for the future

The future of Harare’s low-density suburbs lies in embracing thoughtful densification. Modern, mixed-use precincts offer a compelling vision – a chance to create vibrant, sustainable communities that cater to the needs of a new generation.

Prioritizing community engagement, responsible planning, and a commitment to sustainability, ensures this transformation to unlock significant economic, social, and environmental benefits for Harare.

Text by Martin Chemhere Photos by Fotohaus

From S&D ISSUE 66